Practical Applicability of the ISARIC-4C Score on Severity and Mortality due to SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes.

Background and objectives. There is a bidirectional relationship between SARS-CoV-2 infection and diabetes mellitus (DM), as people with DM are more vulnerable, and SARS-CoV-2 infections worsen the prognosis in these patients. The main purpose of the study was to evaluate the application validity of the ISARIC-4C score in patients confirmed with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Materials and Methods. The study included 159 patients previously known to have type 2 DM and confirmed positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection. We analyzed the concordance between the clinical evaluation of the patients and the ISARIC-4C score. Results. The mortality rate in hospitalized patients was 25.15%. The mortality risk was higher for ISARIC-4C values >14 than in the opposite group (63.93% vs. 31.24%; p < 0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) of the mortality score was 0.875 (95% CI: 0.820-0.930; p < 0.001), correctly classifying 77.36% of the cohort. A cut-off value of >14 had a sensitivity of 87.80% (95% CI: 87.66-87.93), specificity 73.72% (95% CI: 73.48-73.96), positive predictive value 53.73% (95% CI: 53.41-54.04), and negative predictive value 94.56% (95% CI: 94.5-94.62). The Cox regression model showed that the length of hospitalization (LH) was significantly influenced by body mass index, lung impairment, and aspartate aminotransferase, increasing the hazards, while lower HbA1c and lower SatO2 significantly decreased the hazards. Conclusions. ISARIC-4C score estimates the likelihood of clinical deterioration and the mortality risk in patients hospitalized with type 2 DM and positive for SARS-CoV-2, being useful in assessing the prognosis from the onset, as well as in developing therapeutic strategies.

Increased Incidence of Type 1 Diabetes during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Romanian Children.

Background and Objective: It is known that several viruses are involved in the pathogenesis of type 1 diabetes. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a new worldwide spread virus that may act as a trigger for the autoimmune destruction of the ß-cells, as well, and thus lead to an increase in the incidence of type 1 diabetes. Material and Methods: The Romanian National Organization for the Protection of Children and Adolescents with Diabetes (ONROCAD) has collected information regarding new cases of type 1 diabetes in children aged 0 to 14 years from all over the country since 1996 and has computed the incidence of type 1 diabetes in this age group. Results: We observed a marked increase in the incidence of type 1 diabetes in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, with 16.9%, from 11.4/100,000 in 2019 to 13.3/100,000 in 2020, much higher compared to previous years (mean yearly increase was 5.1% in the period 1996-2015 and 0.8% in the interval 2015-2019). The proportion of newly diagnosed cases was significantly higher in the second half of 2020 compared to the second half of the previous years (57.8 vs. 51%, p < 0.0001). Conclusions: All these aspects suggest the role that SARS-CoV-2 could have in triggering pancreatic autoimmunity. To confirm this, however, collecting information from larger populations from different geographical regions, monitoring the incidence curves over a period of several years, and gathering background information on COVID-19 and/or data on COVID-19 specific antibodies are needed.